Durable Goods Orders: In “stall speed”

What makes Durable Goods Orders a “high profile” indicator is that it can foreshadow significant changes in economic activity sooner than other statistics. That´s because it is about production that will take place in the months ahead. It is important to keep in mind, however, durable goods orders are highly volatile month-to-month due, in large measure, to sudden large changes in orders for defense goods and aircraft. In order to get a better reading of demand in the business sector we must strip those volatile components out. Doing so, we get a better gauge of consumer confidence. The 65% of durable…

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