Yellen’s future at the Fed

The media conclusion, following remarks Fed chair Janet Yellen gave at the yearly Jackson Hole financial elite meet up, was that she does not expect re-nomination. Yellen’s speech defended banking regulations put in place following the Great Recession, gainsaying the current administration which seeks to relax the costly stress testing and capital evaluation large US banks must undertake. The chart below (from politics betting site shows how Yellen’s prospects for re-nomination have fallen. Yellen’s speech on Friday pushed her contract down from 31% to 23%. It’s a dubious business for mere mortals to try and interpolate the dynamics behind…

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