August 11, 2017

When will the Fed run out of patience?

They have extended their “patience horizon” until next year. From Bill Dudley: “People think about inflation typically on a year-over-year basis, and those year-over-year measures are going to be depressed for a while,” Dudley said. “But thinking about it sequentially, we would expect the inflation data to show a little bit more upward pressure than what we’ve seen over the last four months or so.” “Thinking about it sequentially”, means on a monthly-annualized basis. If you do that, however, all you get is a big headache from looking at numbers jumping up and down and most of the time showing… Read More